If
you were to pick one word to describe the New England Patriots this season, the
term “inconsistent” might fit perfectly.
The same offense that hung 52 points on the Bills took more than 57
minutes to find the end zone against the Cardinals. The same defense that had more yards on a
fumble return-touchdown in Week 1(6) than Chris Johnson had running the ball
for the Titans (4) gave up 101 yards to Ray Rice in Week 3. And the same team
that beat the Peyton Manning-led Denver Broncos let the low-scoring Seahawks
have their second-highest offensive output of the season with 24 points.
New England Patriots fans, it is
time to face the music. This 3-3-0 team
that has taken the region on a roller coaster ride for the first six weeks
isn’t the real deal. There are too many inconsistencies
in the formerly well-oiled machine that is the New England Patriots to say they
are going to be the team everyone predicted they’d be coming into this season.
Now take a look at the offensive
output of the Pats. They scored like
nobody’s business when they went to Orchard Park, New York, but the number of
touchdowns they scored in the fourth quarter against the Bills (4) outnumbered
the total number of TDs they managed against Arizona and Seattle (3). The
reason the Patriots lost to the Cards and ‘Hawks wasn’t because they couldn’t
move the ball. It was because they
couldn’t find the end zone against good defenses. Unless you have a defense full of absolute
studs, which the Patriots do not, you have to get the ball across the goal line,
not just through the uprights, to win football games. New England hasn’t shown they can score
touchdowns against tougher defensive teams.
And it’s not only the Patriots
overall offense that’s taking on a Jekyll & Hyde persona this season, but
the New England running game seems to come in ebbs and flows as well. The Patriots have been held to under 100
yards rushing as a team in each of their three losses, but have gone for at
least 162 yards on the ground in every win.
Even worse for the Patriots: the
performance of the run game is a bit of a head scratcher statistically. They netted 87 yards rushing against a
Seattle defense that’s given up the second-fewest yards rushing per game this
season at 70.0. Understandable. But three weeks earlier they had only 77 yards
on the ground against Baltimore, currently ranked 26th in the NFL in
yards rushing allowed per game with 136.5.
What will Stevan Ridley, Danny Woodhead, and Brandon Bolden do this
weekend? They could go for 300 yards,
but they might get held under the century mark too. They’re just too unpredictable to be able to
know what they’re going to do against the Jets and their defense that’s 28th
in the NFL in yards rushing allowed per game (150.5). When you’re relying on your ground game to
help carry the offense to the extent the Patriots have been, the fact that the
rushing attack only performs in certain seemingly random games is problematic
for attempting to guarantee success.
Then
there’s that nasty little injury bug that the Patriots seem to have been bitten
by this season. They lost Aaron
Hernandez for three games (four really when you consider that he only made it
through three plays of the game against the Cardinals). Everybody from Tom Brady to Dont’a Hightower has been listed on someone’s injury report at one time or
another. And pro-football-reference.com
currently says ten active players are “questionable for Sunday’s game against
the NY Jets.”
Having
so many guys nicked up can’t be a recipe for success in the NFL. Take a look at
the injury reports of some of the best teams in the league. The 6-0-0 Atlanta Falcons have just three
members of their active roster who are questionable for their next game
(October 28 against the Eagles). Ditto
for the 5-1-0 Baltimore Ravens. And the
Houston Texans are in even better position: One member of their active roster
is doubtful for the team’s game this weekend, one is described as "out indefinitely," and one is going to be placed injured reserve. Everyone else is either probable, or not injured.
So
New England, prepare for yet another year without a Super Bowl victory. The Patriots will win enough games to make
the playoffs, but will eventually be defeated by a better, more consistent
opponent, making it yet another that the New England area will have to suffer
through a Lombardi-less offseason.
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